Arsenal's final two Premier League games could cost them over £30million if they go wrong. Such is the condensed nature of the top of the table, Mikel Arteta's men may yet finish as low as sixth.
Although it is extremely unlikely, two defeats () would leave Arsenal open to dropping out of the Champions League places. The good news is that they only need a point to be almost 100 per cent certain of their spot in the top five.
Two months ago and this was not the sort of climax Arteta was hoping for. Arsenal were still attempting (in vain) to close the gap on Liverpool at the summit whilst pursuing their Champions League ambitions.. Competing for both was too much for an already small and injury-hit squad.
In the process of prioritising European glory, Arsenal's Premier League form has halted entirely, leaving Manchester City and Newcastle to eye chance of sneaking into second. With only one league win in the last six and just three from 11, Arsenal are limping over the line - quite literally.
They have drawn six of the last 10 and have only won with a margin of two or more goals twice since the start of December (12 matches). Performance levels have dropped as well with fatigue and a shift in focus.
What is vital now for Arsenal and Arteta is that they attempt to find a flourish to round things off with.
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Not only would Arsenal miss out on the Champions League qualification bonus, worth at least £15million alone, their Premier League prize money would also drop as well. Although the exact figures are not published until the end of the season, we can use last year's numbers as a general guideline.
In 2023/24, Arsenal earned a total of £175.9million from their league season. That was only £400,000 less than City, who ended as the winners once more. However, it was £4.5million more than third place Liverpool.
A lot of the difference here came from the 'facility fees' which equate to essentially being how often the club was on TV. Arsenal were shown 31 times out of a possible 38, the most of any team by two, and three more than City.
That meant they generated £1.5million more than City even though their 'merit payment' was £1.7million less. That bridged a gap for finishing second which would often be larger.
The merit payment is the reward for the final league placement. Last year the league handed out £23million in total with Arsenal getting £22.4million of that and Sheffield United in last only handed £1.1million.
The Premier League did pay out an equal share of £31.2million to all teams which is consistent across the 20 clubs. £55.7million extra was also divided out equally for the international prize money. A pot of £164million in a central commercial deal gave everyone an additional £8.2million.
That means that in total, every league team got at least £95.1million of equal money before the broadcast sensitive fees are taken into account. The difference from Sheffield United's £109.7million to Arsenal's £175.5million is stark.
With spending expected at the Emirates Stadium over the summer window, every penny will count, Among them are Joan Garcia, Martin Zubimendi, Viktor Gyokeres, and Nico Williams.
. They can not only make this a reality but also add to their funds with a strong end to the season.
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